Serafeim Loukas, PhD
1 min readJul 24, 2020

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more details: A rolling forecast is required given the dependence on observations in prior time steps for differencing and the AR model. A crude way to perform this rolling forecast is to re-create the ARIMA model after each new observation is received.

We manually keep track of all observations in a list called history that is seeded with the training data and to which new observations are appended each iteration.

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Serafeim Loukas, PhD
Serafeim Loukas, PhD

Written by Serafeim Loukas, PhD

Data Scientist @ Natural Cycles (Switzerland). PhD, MSc, M.Eng. Bespoke services on demand

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